Russia’s Strategic Gains from US Intervention in Venezuela New Era

Russia and the US Plan for Venezuela

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A Big Conflict in the Caribbean

President Donald Trump has a new plan for Venezuela. He has ordered a full blockade of their oil ships. He calls the country a “terrorist” group. US ships are now stopping oil tankers at sea. Many people think this is bad for Russia. Russia is a very close friend of Venezuela.

But some experts say Russia might win here. They think Russia can gain more than it loses. This sounds strange to many people. However, it is all about big games between world powers. It is a new chapter in global politics.

Venezuela as a Bargaining Chip

In the world of power, countries are like game pieces. Russia and the US often fight over land in Europe. One big spot is Ukraine. Now, Venezuela is becoming a “bargaining chip” too. Russia might tell the US to stay out of Ukraine.

In return, Russia might let the US act in Venezuela. This is called a “global bargain.” It means both sides give a little to get a little. This helps them avoid a big war. It is a smart way for leaders to talk.

The Thaw in US and Russia Ties

In 2025, the ties between the US and Russia changed. President Trump and Vladimir Putin are talking more now. They seem to want to make deals. This is a “thaw” in their cold relationship. Russia used to see the US as a total foe. Now, they see them as a partner for trade.

If the US acts in Venezuela, Russia might stay quiet. They want the US to be nice to them in other places. This new friendship is key to the whole story. It makes a deal much more likely.

Why Russia Might Not Fight

Russia has many goals in the world. Saving one friend is not always the top goal. They have spent a lot of money in Venezuela. They helped build their oil and army. But Russia’s own land is more important to them. If the US stops pressing Russia at home, Russia will be happy.

They might let the US handle the “problem” in the Caribbean. Russia wins by getting what it wants in Europe. It is a trade that helps the Kremlin stay strong. They are thinking many steps ahead.

A Lesson in Global History

History shows us how these big deals work. In the past, small wars in one place changed big wars in another. Russia knows this very well. They saw it happen in World War II. They do not want a third world war today. So, they look for “mutually beneficial” deals.

A deal over Venezuela is a great way to keep the peace. It keeps the big powers from fighting each other. This is better for the whole world in the end. Russia is very good at this kind of game.

The Role of Oil and Money

Venezuela has the most oil in the world. Russia helps them sell this oil to China. The US blockade makes this very hard to do. But if oil is blocked, the price of oil goes up. Russia is also a big oil seller.

When prices go up, Russia makes more money. So, a blockade in Venezuela helps Russia’s own bank account. They get more cash for every barrel they sell. This is a very big win for Putin. He can use that money to fix his own country.

Using the US as a Precedent

Russia also watches how the US acts. If the US intervenes in its own “backyard,” Russia can too. Russia has neighbors that it wants to control. They can say, “The US did it in Venezuela, so we can do it here.” This is called a “precedent.” It gives Russia a reason to act in places like Georgia.

It makes it hard for the US to complain. Russia loves to use the US’s own rules against them. This helps Russia expand its own power. It is a very clever tactic.

Narrative Battle in the Global South

Russia likes to play the “hero” in some parts of the world. They tell countries that the US is a “cowboy.” They say the US is a “pirate” for taking oil ships. This helps Russia find fans in South America and Africa. Even if Russia lets the US act, they will still talk tough. They want to be seen as the defender of small nations.

This “narrative battle” helps Russia grow its influence. It is a way to win without firing a single shot. They are winning the hearts of many people.

Managing the Aftermath

The US might find that winning the war is the easy part. Managing a country after a war is very hard. Russia knows this from its own history. If the US gets stuck in a long mess in Venezuela, it is busy. It cannot focus on Russia as much. Russia likes it when the US is busy elsewhere. Russia’s Strategic

It gives Russia more room to move at home. A long mess for the US is a quiet time for Russia. This is a secret win for the Kremlin. They want the US to stay busy.

A New Strategy for 2026 Russia’s Strategic

In conclusion, Russia may gain a lot from a US move. By using Venezuela as a deal piece, they win in Europe. It letting oil prices rise, they win in cash. By using the US acts as a rule, they win at home. It is a very complex plan for the new year. While the US focuses on the Caribbean, Russia will grow. Russia’s Strategic

The “Joker” in the East is playing a very long game. We will see the results of this bargain very soon. 2026 will be a very busy year for the world.

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